295 results for "memo":
Showing 101 - 110 of 295 results
Calibrating
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Calibrating I set a personal record by writing four memos in the month of March, responding to the rapidly unfolding coronavirus crisis., In this first memo of the crisis, I struck a number of themes I would return to in the following weeks: These days, people have been asking me whether this is the time to buy., Latest Update – to clients March 19, on website March 24 This memo was issued with the S&P 500 down 29% and within a few days of the low (down 34%) that would be reached on March 23., Portfolio Positioning One of the benefits I derive from writing my memos is that the more I work on a memo about something, the more it comes into focus., On the contrary, I gave this memo the title Calibrating because of my view that a portfolio’s positioning should change over time in response to what’s going on in the environment.
It’s All Good
I’ve said in the past that I consider “You Can’t Predict,” a primer on cycles, to have been one of my best¸ and also that it evoked the least response of any memo in this decade., Thus I’m offering it as a twofer with this memo; copies are available on request at no additional cost., Thus I’m going to devote this memo to the cycle that’s been underway for the last few years., In this latter regard, I’ll reprint a few paragraphs from “First Quarter Performance,” the 1991 memo cited above., To continue a thread from my last memo, “Everyone Knows,” expecting widespread clinical observation during a market mania makes about as much sense as saying “everyone knows the market has gone too far.”
The Illusion of Knowledge (Audio)
Howard Marks has long questioned the value of macro forecasts, but in his latest memo, he explains why creating profitable forecasts is so difficult.
Sea Change (Audio)
In his latest memo, Howard Marks writes that the investment world may be experiencing the third major sea change of the last 50 years.
Ruminating on Asset Allocation (Audio)
In his latest memo, Howard Marks outlines the need to base asset allocation decisions around an established risk target.
The Illusion of Knowledge
It was that lunch that started me thinking about writing yet another memo on the futility of macro forecasting., Shortly after starting on this memo, I received my regular weekly edition of Morgan Housel’s always-brilliant newsletter., I found Ferguson’s article so relevant to the subject of this memo that I’m including a link to it here., At the lunch described at the beginning of this memo, people were asked what they expected in terms of, for example, Fed policy, and how that influenced their investment stance., * * * In a 2001 memo called What’s It All About, Alpha?
The Seven Worst Words in the World
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Seven Worst Words in the World I have a new book coming out next week titled Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side., Thus the idea for this memo came from the seven worst words in the investment world: “too much money chasing too few deals, But these are my conclusions, and they’re the reason for this memo at this time, This memo can be recapped simply: there’s a race to the bottom going on, reflecting a widespread reduction in the level of prudence on the part of investors and capital providers.
Bull Market Rhymes
They’ll be the topic of this memo., I want to mention up front that this memo has nothing to do with assessing the markets’ likely direction from here., And updating a question I asked in my memo The Happy Medium (July 2004), why has its annual return been between 8% and 12% just six times during this period?, In my 2007 memo The Race to the Bottom, I explained that when there’s too much money in the hands of investors and providers of capital and they’re too eager to put it to work, they bid too aggressively for securities and the chance to lend.
The Folly of Certainty
Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks R e: The Folly of Certainty The impetus for my memos can come from a wide variety of sources., And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., A L L R I G H T S R E S E R V E D P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.
The Winds of Change (Audio)
Howard Marks’s latest memo examines paradigm shifts that could reshape the economy, markets and the world for many years to come.