280 results for "memo":

Showing 151 - 160 of 280 results

The Folly of Certainty

And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., , has supplied an interesting tidbit for this memo on the subject of economists’ conclusions: I use the Philly Fed’s Anxious Index (the probability of a decline in real GDP in the upcoming quarter) as an indicator that a recession has ended., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.
Warning Flags

The inspiration for today’s memo came as my pile of clippings began to swell with indications that pre-crisis behavior is coming back., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d 11 * * * I started this memo in late April, but I didn’t get it out before Greece’s financial crisis burst into full bloom last week., This gives me an opportunity to discuss the significance of the recent developments (not the substance, however; that’ll have to await another memo)., Just a few months ago, I published a memo called “Tell Me I’m Wrong” (January 22), in which I listed a number of things that worried me., Here’s how I concluded: My goal in this memo isn’t to express a forecast.
The Calculus of Value

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Calculus of Value On July 28, I flew to South America on a plane without Wi-Fi, leaving me without email or entertainment., What was I to do but start in on a memo?, * * * January 2 of this year was the 25 th anniversary of my memo bubble.com, the one that put my writing on the map, and I marked the occasion by publishing another memo, called On Bubble Watch., I think of assets that don’t produce operating cash flow or have the potential to do so in the future as not having earning power, and that makes them impossible to value objectively, analytically, or intrinsically (see my 2010 memo about gold, All That Glitters)., • I concluded in my January memo that this was troublesome but not threatening, again mostly because the temporary mania or “irrational exuberance” that I believe accompanies – or gives rise to – most bubbles wasn’t present.
The Calculus of Value

In his latest memo, Howard Marks sets forth the essence of value and price, as well as the critical relationship between the two.
Sea Change

As I wrote in the memo On the Couch (January 2016), whereas events in the real world fluctuate between “pretty good” and “not so hot,” investor sentiment often careens from “flawless” to “hopeless” as events that were previously viewed as benign come to be interpreted as catastrophic.
Dare to Be Great II

All Rights Reserved Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Dareto Be Great II In September 2006, I wrote a memo entitled Dare to Be Great, with suggestions on how institutional investors might approach the goal of achieving superior investment results.,  Most importantly for the purposes of this memo, how will you define success, and what risks will you take to achieve it?, In the memo I mentioned my favorite fortune cookie: “the cautious seldom err or write great poetry.”, This goes all the way back to the beginning of this memo, and each organization’s need to establish its creed., Some of this comes from my last memo, on the role of luck
There They Go Again

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo t o : O a k t r e e C l i ents F r o m: Howard M a r k s R e : ThereTheyGoAgain Contributingto...euphoriaaretwofurtherfactorslittlenotedinourtime orinpasttimes., * * * Lately I’ve been speaking a lot from my last general memo, “Risk and Return Today” (October 27, 2004)., I was pleased to get a letter from Peter Bernstein in response to my memo, in which he said something wonderful: “The market’s not a very accommodating machine; it won’t provide high returns just because you need them, ” * * * If you look back at the recurring mistakes listed at the beginning of this memo, you’ll see some common threads.
Lines in the Sand

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Lines in the Sand In my 2016 year-end review, which went only to clients, I included a discussion of the use of subscription lines by closed-end funds in areas such as private equity, real estate, distressed debt and private credit., Thus I decided to write this memo on the topic for general circulation., Remember, as I wrote in a 2006 memo with the same title, you can’t eat IRR., My basic point in that memo was that what really matters is how much money an LP makes as a result of having committed to a fund.
The Lessons of Oil

All Rights Reserved Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Lessons of Oil I want to provide a memo on this topic before I – and hopefully many of my readers – head out for year- end holidays.
Not Enough

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Not Enough Whatever affects one directly, affects all indirectly., I’ve struggled to write this memo, and for that reason it’s late in coming.