303 results for "memo":
Showing 151 - 160 of 303 results
Risk Revisited
All Rights Reserved Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Risk Revisited In April I had good results with Dare to Be Great II, starting from the base established in an earlier memo (Dare to Be Great, September 2006) and adding new thoughts that had occurred to me in the intervening years., Also in 2006 I wrote Risk, my first memo devoted entirely to this key subject., This memo adds to what I’ve previously written on the topic., What Risk Really Means In the 2006 memo and in the book, I argued against the purported identity between volatility and risk., While writing the original memo on risk in 2006, an important thought came to me for the first time.
Returns Absolute Returns and Risk
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Returns,AbsoluteReturns and Risk UWhat’s In a Name?, According to the article that inspired this memo, “Today, the term ‘absolute return’ seems to be used most often to describe what wealthy individual investors have always called hedge funds.”, When I wrote the memo “Risk” in February, I thought I had hit on something when I observed that risk is not measurable even after the fact.
Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank
A Word on Regulation In March 2011, in the aftermath of the GFC, I published a memo called On Regulation ., Combine developments like these with the reality that (a) interest rates are no longer declining or near zero; (b) the Fed can’t be as accommodative as it was in the last few crises, because of today’s elevated inflation; and (c) negative developments are popping up in portfolios, and I think the case made in my previous memo, Sea Change (December 2022), has been bolstered., * * * While I don’t foresee widespread contagion – either psychological or financial – arising from the SVB failure alone, I can’t end a memo on U.S. banks without mentioning one of the biggest worries they face today: the possibility of problems stemming from loans against commercial real estate (“CRE”), especially office buildings.
How the Game Should Be Played
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClientsandFriends From: HowardMarks Re: HowtheGame Should Be Played One of the questions asked most often in connection with our leaving to form Oaktree - - perhaps second only to "where'd the name come from?", I believe this is the way much of the investment world thinks, but it's Uthe opposite of what we believe in.U In fact, I wrote a memo in 1990 to take issue with a money manager who justified his poor recent performance by saying "If you want to be in the top 5% of money managers, you have to be willing to be in the bottom 5%, too."
The Folly of Certainty
And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., , has supplied an interesting tidbit for this memo on the subject of economists’ conclusions: I use the Philly Fed’s Anxious Index (the probability of a decline in real GDP in the upcoming quarter) as an indicator that a recession has ended., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.
Fewer Losers, or More Winners?
This time, in my fourth decade of memo-writing, I’m going to devote a few more paragraphs to tennis., In my memo Liquidity (March 2015), I included an insight from my son Andrew., The Role of Risk Bearing I’m going to conclude this memo using my favorite graph., Since writing that memo, I’ve concluded that this way of thinking about things has a great many applications., In my memo What Really Matters?
Mysterious
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Mysterious Most of the time, my memos have their origin in something interesting that’s happening in the world or in a series of events I come across that I think can be interestingly juxtaposed., The other day, my colleague Ian Schapiro, the leader of Oaktree’s Power Opportunities and Infrastructure groups, suggested I write a memo about negative interest rates., This question takes me back to my immediate response to Ian’s suggestion that I write this memo: nobody knows, and certainly not me.
What Does the Market Know?
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: What Does the Market Know?, ” That prompted this memo in response., The rest of this memo will be about fleshing out this theme (meaning you can stop reading here if you’ve had enough or are short on time)., If “On the Couch” wasn’t successful in convincing you this isn’t possible, this memo probably won’t be, either., I set a trap at the beginning of this memo, and I want to spring it now.
There They Go Again
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo t o : O a k t r e e C l i ents F r o m: Howard M a r k s R e : ThereTheyGoAgain Contributingto...euphoriaaretwofurtherfactorslittlenotedinourtime orinpasttimes., * * * Lately I’ve been speaking a lot from my last general memo, “Risk and Return Today” (October 27, 2004)., I was pleased to get a letter from Peter Bernstein in response to my memo, in which he said something wonderful: “The market’s not a very accommodating machine; it won’t provide high returns just because you need them, ” * * * If you look back at the recurring mistakes listed at the beginning of this memo, you’ll see some common threads.
Lines in the Sand
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Lines in the Sand In my 2016 year-end review, which went only to clients, I included a discussion of the use of subscription lines by closed-end funds in areas such as private equity, real estate, distressed debt and private credit., Thus I decided to write this memo on the topic for general circulation., Remember, as I wrote in a 2006 memo with the same title, you can’t eat IRR., My basic point in that memo was that what really matters is how much money an LP makes as a result of having committed to a fund.