295 results for "memo":

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More on Repealing the Laws of Economics

In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the implications of governmental intervention in economies.

Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

I thought I should comment on these developments and the outlook, and the result was a memo called Nobody Knows, published four days later., In March 2020, I reused the title of the 2008 memo for Nobody Knows II, my first memo during the Covid-19 pandemic., The Uncertain Outlook In my February memo 2024 in Review, which went only to clients, I said the word to describe the Trump administration was “uncertainty.”, Truly nobody knows, and a lot of this memo will be about things we can’t know for sure., Note that in my March 2022 memo, The Pendulum in International Affairs, I observed that between 1995 and 2020, U.S. consumer durable prices declined by 40% in real terms and total inflation averaged only 1.8% per year.

The Complete Collection

And that’s the point of this memo., That’s what this memo is about., But I think it’s worth a memo., And thus this section of my memo., In my memo What Really Matters?

Returns Absolute Returns and Risk

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Returns,AbsoluteReturns and Risk UWhat’s In a Name?, According to the article that inspired this memo, “Today, the term ‘absolute return’ seems to be used most often to describe what wealthy individual investors have always called hedge funds.”, When I wrote the memo “Risk” in February, I thought I had hit on something when I observed that risk is not measurable even after the fact.

Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank

A Word on Regulation In March 2011, in the aftermath of the GFC, I published a memo called On Regulation ., Combine developments like these with the reality that (a) interest rates are no longer declining or near zero; (b) the Fed can’t be as accommodative as it was in the last few crises, because of today’s elevated inflation; and (c) negative developments are popping up in portfolios, and I think the case made in my previous memo, Sea Change (December 2022), has been bolstered., * * * While I don’t foresee widespread contagion – either psychological or financial – arising from the SVB failure alone, I can’t end a memo on U.S. banks without mentioning one of the biggest worries they face today: the possibility of problems stemming from loans against commercial real estate (“CRE”), especially office buildings.

Down to the Wire

Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : DowntotheWire Here are the ingredients in the plot: A problem everyone’s aware of., I’ve decided to devote a memo to the debt issue and its significance.

Not Enough

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Not Enough Whatever affects one directly, affects all indirectly., I’ve struggled to write this memo, and for that reason it’s late in coming.

The Folly of Certainty

And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., , has supplied an interesting tidbit for this memo on the subject of economists’ conclusions: I use the Philly Fed’s Anxious Index (the probability of a decline in real GDP in the upcoming quarter) as an indicator that a recession has ended., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.

There They Go Again...Again

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: There They Go Again . . ., As I tell it, after ten years without a single response, that one made my memo writing an overnight success., Ditto In January 2013, I wrote a memo entitled “Ditto.”, The Seeds for a Boom My son Andrew worked extensively with me in preparing this memo., Most of what remains for the meat of this memo will consist of descriptions of things afoot in the markets today.

Fewer Losers More Winner

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks R e: Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, This time, in my fourth decade of memo -writing, I’m going to devote a few more paragraphs to tennis., In my memo Liquidity (March 2015), I included an insight from my son Andrew., The Role of Risk Bearing I’m going to conclude this memo using my favorite graph., In my memo What Really Matters?